Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for KA had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest KA win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
