SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Sirius | 15 | -5 | 21 |
| 10 | Elfsborg | 15 | 7 | 20 |
| 11 | IFK Norrkoping | 15 | -3 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 16 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 15 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 15 | 17 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Molde had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Molde win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Molde |
42.71% ( -0.21) | 26.95% ( 0) | 30.34% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.7% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.71% ( 0.05) | 55.28% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.49% ( 0.04) | 76.5% ( -0.04) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( -0.08) | 25.62% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.49% ( -0.11) | 60.51% ( 0.12) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( 0.17) | 33.18% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.21% ( 0.19) | 69.79% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Molde |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.7% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.34% |
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