SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.52%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Monaco |
29.5% ( 0.44) | 22.13% ( -0.01) | 48.36% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 65.56% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.67% ( 0.34) | 34.33% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.76% ( 0.39) | 56.24% ( -0.39) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( 0.44) | 23.16% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.96% ( 0.64) | 57.04% ( -0.64) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.32% ( -0.02) | 14.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.16% ( -0.04) | 42.84% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.04% Total : 29.5% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 5.86% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.43% Total : 48.36% |
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