SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 27 | 6 | 38 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 27 | -2 | 33 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 26 | -8 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 26 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Derry City | 27 | 19 | 49 |
| 3 | Dundalk | 28 | 15 | 49 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
35.6% ( -0.66) | 26.99% ( -0.71) | 37.41% ( 1.36) |
| Both teams to score 50.92% ( 2.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.65% ( 2.76) | 54.35% ( -2.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.27% ( 2.25) | 75.73% ( -2.26) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.82% ( 0.95) | 29.18% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.88% ( 1.16) | 65.12% ( -1.17) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% ( 2.17) | 28.09% ( -2.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.24% ( 2.67) | 63.76% ( -2.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.85) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.54% Total : 35.6% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.92)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.33)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.5) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.33)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.8% Total : 37.4% |
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