Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Derry City	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
44.03% ( 0.48)	26.85% ( 0.06)	29.11% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 49.37% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.58% (

-0.46)

55.41% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.39% (

-0.38)

76.61% (

0.38)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.99% (

0.03)

25% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.33% (

0.05)

59.66% (

-0.05)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.83% (

-0.65)

34.17% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.14% (

-0.71)

70.86% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Derry City 44.03%

Shamrock Rovers 29.11%

Draw 26.85%

Derry City	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.03%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.85%	0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.28% Total : 29.11%