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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 30
Sep 11, 2022 at 7pm UK
Tallaght Stadium, Dublin

Shamrock
5 - 1
Finn Harps

Farrugia (8', 43'), Gaffney (36' pen.), Lyons (41'), Byrne (62')
O'Neil (26')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Siaj (57')
Duncan (6'), McWoods (17'), Rainey (35'), Jones (72')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shamrock Rovers and Finn Harps.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shamrock 0-0 Djurgarden
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-1 Finn Harps
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 69.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 11.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.

Result
Shamrock RoversDrawFinn Harps
69.4% (-0.489 -0.49) 19.18% (0.242 0.24) 11.42% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 43.99% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (-0.388 -0.39)47.61% (0.391 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (-0.358 -0.36)69.81% (0.363 0.36)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.42% (-0.25 -0.25)12.58% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.34% (-0.528 -0.53)38.66% (0.52999999999999 0.53)
Finn Harps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.32% (0.208 0.21)49.69% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.56% (0.145 0.15)84.44% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Shamrock Rovers 69.39%
    Finn Harps 11.43%
    Draw 19.18%
Shamrock RoversDrawFinn Harps
2-0 @ 13.43% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 12.95% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.28% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.81% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 69.39%
1-1 @ 9.06% (0.112 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.29% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.18%
0-1 @ 4.37% (0.096 0.1)
1-2 @ 3.17% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.53% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 11.43%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Shamrock 0-0 Djurgarden
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bohemians 1-0 Shamrock
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Ferencvaros
Thursday, August 25 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Shamrock 3-0 Dundalk
Sunday, August 21 at 7pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Ferencvaros 4-0 Shamrock
Thursday, August 18 at 5.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Derry 0-0 Shamrock
Friday, August 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-1 Finn Harps
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Finn Harps 3-2 Sligo
Friday, August 19 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 2-1 Finn Harps
Friday, August 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Finn Harps 3-0 Drogheda
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 3-0 Finn Harps
Friday, July 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Finn Harps 1-2 Derry
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier


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