Both teams enter Thursday's contest in good form and will fancy their chances of coming out on top over the course of the two-legged tie. However, we believe that Hearts will grind out a slender first-leg advantage on home soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PAOK in this match.