SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Hearts |
55.33% ( 0.02) | 22.98% ( -0) | 21.69% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.31% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( 0.01) | 45.52% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( 0) | 67.85% ( -0) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% ( 0.01) | 16.31% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.11% ( 0.01) | 45.89% ( -0.01) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.9% ( -0.01) | 35.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.15% ( -0.01) | 71.85% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 55.33% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.73% 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.97% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 21.69% |
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