SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Hearts |
58.45% ( -0.09) | 25.69% ( 0.06) | 15.86% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 37.65% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.32% ( -0.12) | 62.68% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.76% ( -0.09) | 82.24% ( 0.09) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.33% ( -0.09) | 21.66% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.2% ( -0.14) | 54.8% ( 0.14) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.07% ( -0.03) | 51.93% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.04% ( -0.02) | 85.96% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 17.2% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 58.43% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 15.86% |
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