SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hearts |
37.06% ( -0.02) | 27.37% ( 0) | 35.57% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.73% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.15% ( -0.01) | 55.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.03% ( -0.01) | 76.97% ( 0.01) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( -0.02) | 29.03% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.07% ( -0.02) | 64.93% ( 0.03) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% ( 0.01) | 29.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% ( 0.01) | 66.04% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.05% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.57% |
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