SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 20.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
20.65% ( 0.02) | 25.18% ( 0.2) | 54.17% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 46.28% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.54% ( -0.7) | 55.45% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% ( -0.57) | 76.64% ( 0.57) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.19% ( -0.38) | 41.8% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.74% ( -0.33) | 78.26% ( 0.33) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.52% ( -0.36) | 20.47% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.05% ( -0.58) | 52.94% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.13% Total : 20.65% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 13.57% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 10.76% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.4% Total : 54.16% |
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