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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Newtown AFC |
63.82% ( -0.02) | 20.08% ( 0) | 16.1% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( 0.02) | 41.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% ( 0.02) | 63.57% ( -0.03) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.76% ( 0) | 12.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.06% ( 0) | 37.94% ( -0) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.36% ( 0.04) | 38.64% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.61% ( 0.04) | 75.38% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.95% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.84% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.61% Total : 63.82% | 1-1 @ 9.44% 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.08% | 0-1 @ 4.5% 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 16.1% |
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