SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.55%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | The New Saints |
18.19% ( -1.56) | 24.08% ( -0.39) | 57.73% ( 1.96) |
| Both teams to score 45.59% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.63% ( -0.48) | 54.37% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.26% ( -0.4) | 75.74% ( 0.4) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.05% ( -2.08) | 43.95% ( 2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.91% ( -1.76) | 80.09% ( 1.76) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.34% ( 0.56) | 18.66% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.01% ( 0.94) | 49.99% ( -0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.67% Total : 18.19% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 13.77% ( 0.5) 0-2 @ 11.55% ( 0.61)1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.47% ( 0.45)1-3 @ 5.32% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.16% Total : 57.72% |
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