SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
37.42% ( 0.12) | 28.43% ( 0.1) | 34.16% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 46.44% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.12% ( -0.4) | 59.88% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.85% ( -0.3) | 80.14% ( 0.3) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% ( -0.13) | 30.8% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.93% ( -0.15) | 67.07% ( 0.15) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% ( -0.35) | 32.89% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% ( -0.4) | 69.47% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.42% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.15% |
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