Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kairat win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kairat win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
