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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
AA

Nice
3 - 0
Ajaccio

Dante (3'), Brahimi (69', 90')
Boudaoui (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 1-3 Nice
Sunday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Nantes
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 3-0 Ajaccio

Struggling for goals, without their captain and vice-captain and facing a reinvigorated Nice side, this contest has all the makings of a bad day at the office for Ajaccio. Les Aiglons' hot streak is sure to end at some point, but it should not be on Friday, as Digard's men continue to put pressure on their fellow European hopefuls with a straightforward victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Nice in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nice.

Result
NiceDrawAjaccio
51.95% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 25.49% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 22.56% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.81% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)54.7% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)76.02% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)21.08% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)53.9% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.58% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)39.42% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.88% (-0.044 -0.04)76.12% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nice 51.94%
    Ajaccio 22.56%
    Draw 25.49%
NiceDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.94%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.31% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.74% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 22.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Marseille 1-3 Nice
Sunday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Nice
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Lille
Sunday, January 29 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 0-0 Nice
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 6-1 Montpellier
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Nice
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Nantes
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-2 Ajaccio
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Lyon
Sunday, January 29 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, January 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Monaco 7-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, January 15 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-1 Reims
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1


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