SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Nice in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nice.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Ajaccio |
51.95% ( -0.04) | 25.49% ( 0.03) | 22.56% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.81% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.3% ( -0.1) | 54.7% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.98% ( -0.08) | 76.02% ( 0.08) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( -0.06) | 21.08% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.1% ( -0.09) | 53.9% ( 0.09) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.58% ( -0.05) | 39.42% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.88% ( -0.04) | 76.12% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.94% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.41% Total : 22.56% |
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