SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Auxerre |
56.2% ( 0.49) | 22.87% ( -0.24) | 20.93% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.57% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% ( 0.71) | 45.97% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.72% ( 0.67) | 68.28% ( -0.67) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.83% ( 0.42) | 16.17% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.37% ( 0.76) | 45.63% ( -0.76) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.9% ( 0.15) | 36.09% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.12% ( 0.15) | 72.88% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Auxerre |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.29% Total : 56.19% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.82% Total : 20.93% |
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