SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.08%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 20.06% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 3-1 (7.14%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Barrow |
60.08% ( 0.02) | 19.87% ( 0.03) | 20.06% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.77% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.76% ( -0.23) | 33.24% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45% ( -0.27) | 55% ( 0.27) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.15% ( -0.06) | 10.86% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.04% ( -0.14) | 34.96% ( 0.14) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( -0.18) | 29.59% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( -0.22) | 65.63% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Barrow |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 60.08% | 1-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.87% | 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 20.06% |
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