SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
44.27% ( -0.02) | 24.43% ( -0) | 31.3% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.67% ( 0.03) | 44.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.29% ( 0.02) | 66.71% ( -0.02) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.84% ( 0) | 20.16% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.56% ( -0) | 52.44% ( 0) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( 0.03) | 26.99% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( 0.04) | 62.34% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.92% Total : 44.27% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.3% |
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