SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | The New Saints |
23.7% ( -0.11) | 23.87% ( 0.36) | 52.43% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.85% ( -1.65) | 47.15% ( 1.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.62% ( -1.55) | 69.38% ( 1.55) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( -1) | 34.16% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.15% ( -1.09) | 70.85% ( 1.09) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( -0.7) | 17.95% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.22% ( -1.22) | 48.78% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 23.7% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 5.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.43% |
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