It has been far from pretty, but Roma have managed to grind out a series of positive results lately - setting them up nicely for a successful return to Europe. Vitesse are undoubtedly no pushovers on current form, but the significant gulf in individual quality will start to show itself as the evening wears on - resulting in several chances for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Roma had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.39%) and 3-2 (4.88%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Roma
43.51%	21.1%	35.39%

Both teams to score 72.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.58%

26.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.25%

46.75%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.71%

13.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.89%

40.11%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.65%

16.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.05%

45.95%

Score Analysis

Vitesse 43.51%

Roma 35.39%

Draw 21.1%

Vitesse	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 5.39% 3-2 @ 4.88% 2-0 @ 4.42% 1-0 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-2 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-3 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.18% Total : 43.51%	1-1 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 7.26% 3-3 @ 2.95% 0-0 @ 2.17% Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.1%	1-2 @ 7.19% 2-3 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 4.34% 0-1 @ 3.94% 0-2 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 2.15% 2-4 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.97% 3-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.57% Total : 35.39%