Vitesse have struggled on home turf of late, while Heerenveen have been far from impressive on the road. We expect a tight and cagey affair with the hosts narrowly edging out their visitors to claim all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 62.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
0.23) 
-0.11) 
