Both sides' strengths and frailties are well known to each other, but Atalanta's attacking might has largely been replaced by a more disciplined defensive approach of late - particularly in high-profile clashes with Inter, Lazio and Juventus. Each of those games produced either goalless or low-scoring draws, and another could be in the offing against Roma this week, as their hosts are always vulnerable versus Calcio's top sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Atalanta BC
32.86%	23.71%	43.43%

Both teams to score 61.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.65%

40.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.27%

62.73%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.89%

24.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.6%

58.41%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.11%

18.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.63%

50.37%

Score Analysis

Roma 32.86%

Atalanta BC 43.43%

Draw 23.71%

Roma	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.68% 1-0 @ 6.48% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.86%	1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.71%	1-2 @ 9% 0-1 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 5% 2-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.42% Total : 43.43%