Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
34.43% (![]() | 24.64% (![]() | 40.92% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.69% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.7% (![]() | 44.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.32% (![]() | 66.67% (![]() |
Zrinjski Mostar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% (![]() | 25.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% (![]() | 59.75% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.33% (![]() | 21.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.19% (![]() | 54.81% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 7.95% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.52% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.43% | 1-1 @ 11.49% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.79% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.92% |
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