SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
34.43% ( -0.03) | 24.64% ( -0.01) | 40.92% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.69% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.7% ( 0.07) | 44.3% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.32% ( 0.06) | 66.67% ( -0.06) |
| Zrinjski Mostar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0.01) | 25.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.24% ( 0.02) | 59.75% ( -0.02) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.33% ( 0.05) | 21.67% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.19% ( 0.08) | 54.81% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.43% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.92% |
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