Spezia
2 - 0
AC Milan

Maggiore (56'), Bastoni (67')
Vignali (23'), Bastoni (25'), Erlic (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dalot (65')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	AC Milan
17.79%	20.13%	62.08%

Both teams to score 57.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.73%

38.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.45%

60.55%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.11%

34.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.37%

71.63%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.16%

11.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.9%

37.1%

Score Analysis

Spezia 17.79%

AC Milan 62.09%

Draw 20.13%

Spezia	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 4.89% 1-0 @ 4.35% 2-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.72% Total : 17.79%	1-1 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 5.21% 0-0 @ 4.13% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.13%	1-2 @ 9.9% 0-2 @ 9.4% 0-1 @ 8.81% 1-3 @ 7.04% 0-3 @ 6.69% 1-4 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 3.71% 0-4 @ 3.57% 2-4 @ 1.98% 1-5 @ 1.6% 0-5 @ 1.52% Other @ 4.09% Total : 62.09%