MX23RW : Wednesday, November 13 06:33:25
SM
Tajikistan vs. Nepal: 6 hrs 26 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
AA
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
A

AEK Athens
1 - 1
Ajax

Vida (74')
Vida (40'), Pineda (51'), Araujo (89'), Amrabat (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bergwijn (30' pen.)
Brobbey (56'), Sutalo (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: OFI Crete 2-0 AEK Athens
Monday, October 2 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-3 Ajax
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: AEK Athens 2-2 Ajax

AEK Athens will fancy their chances of claiming another scalp when they face an out-of-sorts Ajax side who have failed to win each of their last five games in all competitions, excluding the abandoned clash with RKC Waalwijk last weekend. Considering the threat that both teams will likely pose in attack, we can see an entertaining score draw played out in Greece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.32%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AEK AthensDrawAjax
32.28% (-2.571 -2.57) 22.48% (-0.18 -0.18) 45.25% (2.75 2.75)
Both teams to score 65.93% (-0.286 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.48% (0.01100000000001 0.01)34.52% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.55% (0.012 0.01)56.45% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-1.341 -1.34)21.65% (1.341 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-2.093 -2.09)54.78% (2.093 2.09)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15% (1.057 1.06)15.85% (-1.057 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.95% (1.91 1.91)45.05% (-1.91 -1.91)
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 32.28%
    Ajax 45.25%
    Draw 22.48%
AEK AthensDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.4% (-0.354 -0.35)
1-0 @ 5.25% (-0.223 -0.22)
2-0 @ 4.02% (-0.345 -0.35)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.346 -0.35)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.269 -0.27)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.199 -0.2)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 32.28%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.82% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.43% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 2.13% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.261 0.26)
0-1 @ 6.32% (0.218 0.22)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.398 0.4)
1-3 @ 5.47% (0.347 0.35)
2-3 @ 4.18% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.58% (0.361 0.36)
1-4 @ 2.52% (0.242 0.24)
2-4 @ 1.93% (0.113 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.218 0.22)
3-4 @ 0.98% (0.019 0.02)
1-5 @ 0.93% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 45.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: OFI Crete 2-0 AEK Athens
Monday, October 2 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 2-1 Atromitos
Thursday, September 28 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-2 AEK Athens
Monday, September 25 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Brighton 2-3 AEK Athens
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Olympiacos
Sunday, September 17 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Volos 2-3 AEK Athens
Sunday, September 3 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Ajax 0-4 Feyenoord
Wednesday, September 27 at 1pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-3 Marseille
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: FC Twente 3-1 Ajax
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 0-0 Ajax
Sunday, September 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ludogorets 1-4 Ajax
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Europa League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .