SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 9.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 3-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Moreirense |
73.71% ( -0.22) | 16.47% ( 0.23) | 9.82% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.27% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.96% ( -1.14) | 40.03% ( 1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.6% ( -1.19) | 62.39% ( 1.18) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.62% ( -0.34) | 9.38% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.42% ( -0.8) | 31.58% ( 0.8) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.16% ( -0.79) | 47.83% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.89% ( -0.59) | 83.11% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Moreirense |
| 2-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.39)3-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.64% Total : 73.69% | 1-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.74% Total : 16.47% | 0-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 9.82% |
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