SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.33%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Estoril Praia |
76.33% ( -0.51) | 15.07% ( 0.23) | 8.6% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 47.21% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.65% ( -0.07) | 37.35% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.43% ( -0.07) | 59.57% ( 0.07) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.87% ( -0.13) | 8.13% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.46% ( -0.32) | 28.53% ( 0.32) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.39% ( 0.62) | 48.61% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.32% ( 0.44) | 83.68% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 2-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.16)1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.41% Total : 76.32% | 1-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.73% Total : 15.07% | 0-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.14% Total : 8.6% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
