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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
E

Porto
4 - 0
Estoril

Loader (19'), Pepe (28'), Galeno (77', 87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Alvaro (36'), Maria Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Moreirense
Thursday, October 31 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Estoril 4-1 Arouca
Saturday, October 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 4-0 Estoril Praia

Porto's outstanding form this season should mean they come into Sunday's clash as strong favourites. Estoril have also been poor on the road, and it would not be surprising if they conceded multiple goals despite taking some confidence from their win last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.33%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
76.33% (-0.51400000000001 -0.51) 15.07% (0.228 0.23) 8.6% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 47.21% (0.504 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.65% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)37.35% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.43% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)59.57% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.87% (-0.13 -0.13)8.13% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.46% (-0.321 -0.32)28.53% (0.319 0.32)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.39% (0.619 0.62)48.61% (-0.62 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.32% (0.444 0.44)83.68% (-0.44500000000001 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Porto 76.32%
    Estoril Praia 8.6%
    Draw 15.07%
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 12.44% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 10.41% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.53% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.28% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.053 0.05)
5-1 @ 2.37% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
6-1 @ 0.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 76.32%
1-1 @ 7.15% (0.103 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.24% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 15.07%
0-1 @ 2.85% (0.059 0.06)
1-2 @ 2.58% (0.082 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.03% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 8.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Moreirense
Thursday, October 31 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: AVS 0-5 Porto
Monday, October 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Hoffenheim
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sintrense 0-3 Porto
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Braga
Sunday, October 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-3 Man Utd
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Estoril 4-1 Arouca
Saturday, October 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Lusitano Evora 0-0 Estoril (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Farense 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, September 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Estoril
Saturday, September 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Nacional
Sunday, September 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


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