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Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
AA

RKC Waalwijk
0 - 3
AZ


Niemeijer (21'), Weidmann (26'), van den Buijs (44'), Kramer (46'), Lokesa (90+2')
Kramer (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
van Bommel (31', 36'), Meerdink (87')
Goes (46'), van Bommel (78'), Belic (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Groningen 0-0 AZ
Sunday, August 25 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 0-2 AZ Alkmaar

While the visitors have struggled in front of goal, the hosts have conceded the second most goals so far this season, suggesting a comfortable victory for AZ Alkmaar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-0 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawAZ Alkmaar
20.3% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 23.85% (-0.02 -0.02) 55.84% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.57% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.18% (0.024000000000001 0.02)50.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29% (0.019000000000002 0.02)72.71% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)39.51% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.8% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)76.2% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (0.031999999999996 0.03)18.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.05% (0.055999999999997 0.06)48.94% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 20.3%
    AZ Alkmaar 55.83%
    Draw 23.85%
RKC WaalwijkDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 6.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.26% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 20.3%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 12.2%
0-2 @ 10.45% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 5.97% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57%
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.37% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 55.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-0 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, August 25 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Groningen
Saturday, August 17 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 5-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, August 10 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, August 3 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Eupen 1-2 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, July 27 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-4 Leuven
Saturday, July 13 at 1.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Groningen 0-0 AZ
Sunday, August 25 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, August 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-1 AZ
Saturday, August 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 AZ
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: AZ 1-1 Le Havre
Wednesday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: AZ 2-2 Atalanta
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3


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