While the visitors have struggled in front of goal, the hosts have conceded the second most goals so far this season, suggesting a comfortable victory for AZ Alkmaar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-0 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
RKC Waalwijk	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
20.3% ( -0.05)	23.85% ( -0.02)	55.84% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 49.57% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.18% (

0.02)

50.82% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.29% (

0.02)

72.71% (

-0.02)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.49% (

-0.04)

39.51% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.8% (

-0.03)

76.2% (

0.03)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.95% (

0.03)

18.04% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.05% (

0.06)

48.94% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

RKC Waalwijk 20.3%

AZ Alkmaar 55.83%

Draw 23.85%

RKC Waalwijk	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.37% Total : 20.3%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.85%	0-1 @ 12.2% 0-2 @ 10.45% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 55.83%