SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.03%) and 0-1 (4.98%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Arsenal |
37.21% ( 0.32) | 21.85% ( -0.01) | 40.94% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 69.9% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.05% ( 0.12) | 29.94% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.87% ( 0.14) | 51.13% ( -0.14) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.85% ( 0.19) | 17.15% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.61% ( 0.34) | 47.39% ( -0.34) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( -0.07) | 15.64% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.35% ( -0.13) | 44.65% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.73% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 37.21% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 3.95% Total : 40.94% |
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