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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
SL

Arsenal
3 - 1
Spurs

Partey (20'), Jesus (49'), Xhaka (67')
Saliba (78'), Martinelli (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kane (31' pen.)
Dier (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 0-3 Arsenal
Sunday, September 18 at 12pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 6-2 Leicester
Saturday, September 17 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Arsenal 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur

Arsenal's streak of failing to keep clean sheets at home and Tottenham's consistent run of scoring against the Gunners bodes well for those in white, but a North London derby at the Emirates always seems to galvanise the home support. Arteta's side could receive numerous fitness boosts, are demonstrating a far more effective ability to press high, and can recover well from in-game setbacks, which should help them to a narrow victory on Saturday against a Tottenham side who still have some questions to answer on the creative front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawTottenham Hotspur
50.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.37% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.22% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.02% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)47.92% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.9% (-0.029 -0.03)70.1% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (-0.012 -0.01)19.03% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.39% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)50.61% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)33.28% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (-0.032 -0.03)69.89% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 50.39%
    Tottenham Hotspur 25.22%
    Draw 24.37%
ArsenalDrawTottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 10.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 8.72% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 50.39%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 25.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brentford 0-3 Arsenal
Sunday, September 18 at 12pm in Premier League
Last Game: FC Zurich 1-2 Arsenal
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-1 Arsenal
Sunday, September 4 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Fulham
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 6-2 Leicester
Saturday, September 17 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Spurs
Tuesday, September 13 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Spurs 2-0 Marseille
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Fulham
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Spurs
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-2 Spurs
Sunday, August 28 at 4.30pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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