SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 57.01%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 22.18% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.75%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
57.01% ( 0.02) | 20.82% ( 0.05) | 22.18% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 62.61% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.09% ( -0.36) | 34.91% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.11% ( -0.4) | 56.89% ( 0.4) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.79% ( -0.11) | 12.2% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.13% ( -0.23) | 37.87% ( 0.23) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( -0.27) | 28.69% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.49% ( -0.33) | 64.51% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 57.01% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.82% | 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 22.18% |
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