Premier League | Gameweek 8

Sep 18, 2022 at 12pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
0 - 3
Arsenal

FT(HT: 0-2)

Saliba (17'), Jesus (28'), Vieira (49')
Xhaka (58'), Jesus (90')

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The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

Last Six:

Last Game: Brentford 5-2 Leeds
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Liverpool	6	9	9
9	Brentford	6	6	9
10	Newcastle United	7	1	8

Arsenal

Last Six:

Last Game: FC Zurich 1-2 Arsenal
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Tottenham Hotspur	7	11	17
3	Arsenal	6	7	15
4	Brighton & Hove Albion	6	6	13

We said: Brentford 2-2 Arsenal

With Toney taking the Premier League by storm and galvanised by his England call-up, a prolific Brentford side can experience plenty of joy in front of goal versus a Gunners defence that have been a bit shaky in recent games. The absence of Zinchenko will be felt given the impact that he has had on the Arsenal team so far, but Arteta's side respond well to conceding, and we can picture an entertaining London derby finishing all square as Arsenal risk losing their grip on top spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.22%) and 0-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Brentford win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Arsenal
19.31% ( -0.18)	20.96% ( -0.08)	59.73% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 57.39% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.35% (

0.09)

39.65% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38% (

0.09)

62% (

-0.09)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.91% (

-0.14)

34.09% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.22% (

-0.15)

70.78% (

0.15)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.07% (

0.11)

12.93% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.62% (

0.22)

39.38% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Brentford 19.31%

Arsenal 59.73%

Draw 20.96%

Brentford	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.31%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.96%	1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.77% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.6% Total : 59.73%