Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 38.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.96%) and 2-3 (4.58%). The likeliest Celtic win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
