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CL
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 10, 2020 at 8pm UK
Celtic Park
L

Celtic
3 - 2
Lille

Jullien (21'), McGregor (28' pen.), Turnbull (75')
Klimala (58'), Duffy (70'), Soro (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ikone (24'), Weah (71')
Ikone (2'), Xeka (58'), David (84'), Andre (90+7')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 38.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.96%) and 2-3 (4.58%). The likeliest Celtic win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
CelticDrawLille
38.37%21.47%40.16%
Both teams to score 71.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.12%27.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.41%48.6%
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.23%15.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.11%44.9%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.93%15.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.41%43.6%
Score Analysis
    Celtic 38.37%
    Lille 40.16%
    Draw 21.47%
CelticDrawLille
2-1 @ 7.67%
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-2 @ 4.47%
1-0 @ 4.39%
2-0 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 2.06%
4-3 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 38.37%
1-1 @ 8.31%
2-2 @ 7.26%
3-3 @ 2.82%
0-0 @ 2.38%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.47%
1-2 @ 7.86%
1-3 @ 4.96%
2-3 @ 4.58%
0-1 @ 4.5%
0-2 @ 4.26%
0-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 2.35%
2-4 @ 2.17%
3-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 40.16%

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