Not only are Lazio in scintillating form, having won 11 of their last 12 matches, their fellow 'Eagles' rarely fare well on the road.
Ludogorets have won just two of 24 away games in the Europa League over recent years, and that trend will surely continue at Stadio Olimpico.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lazio win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw has a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad has a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it is 0-1 (7.95%).