SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Como had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Lazio |
34.58% ( 0.22) | 27.27% ( 0.13) | 38.14% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 49.93% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.45% ( -0.47) | 55.55% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.28% ( -0.39) | 76.72% ( 0.39) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% ( -0.1) | 30.41% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.39% ( -0.12) | 66.62% ( 0.11) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( -0.42) | 28.24% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.05% ( -0.54) | 63.95% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Como | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.58% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.14% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
