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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
LL

Como
1 - 5
Lazio

Mazzitelli (53')
Braunoder (45+2')
Braunoder (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Castellanos (28' pen., 81'), Pedro (31'), Patric (72'), Tchaouna (90+5')
Castellanos (35'), Vecino (45'), Tavares (57'), Isaksen (63')
Tavares (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Como
Friday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-0 Genoa
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Como 1-2 Lazio

While Como have competed well in the top flight, Lazio are heading for Lombardy in peak form and boasting a goal-hungry attack. The Biancocelesti can therefore end their hosts' unbeaten run at Stadio Sinigaglia, keeping themselves in the pack behind Serie A leaders Napoli. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Como had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
ComoDrawLazio
34.58% (0.215 0.22) 27.27% (0.127 0.13) 38.14% (-0.342 -0.34)
Both teams to score 49.93% (-0.363 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.45% (-0.47 -0.47)55.55% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.28% (-0.387 -0.39)76.72% (0.387 0.39)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.59% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)30.41% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.39% (-0.115 -0.12)66.62% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76% (-0.422 -0.42)28.24% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.05% (-0.535 -0.54)63.95% (0.535 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Como 34.58%
    Lazio 38.14%
    Draw 27.27%
ComoDrawLazio
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 34.58%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.155 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 10.86% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Como
Friday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 1-1 Parma
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Como
Friday, October 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 3-2 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-3 Como
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, September 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-0 Genoa
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: FC Twente 0-2 Lazio
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Lazio
Saturday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Empoli
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 4-1 Nice
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Torino 2-3 Lazio
Sunday, September 29 at 11.30am in Serie A


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