While Samsunspor showed they are a different animal on home soil last season, Besiktas have improved their attack over the summer, with the additions of Immobile and Silva giving the 16-time champions extra firepower over most teams, and the pair should flourish on debut on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
-0.48) 
0.08) 
