SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
51.77% ( 0.1) | 22.2% ( 0.01) | 26.03% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 62.28% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.62% ( -0.14) | 37.37% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.41% ( -0.16) | 59.59% ( 0.16) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.36% ( -0.02) | 14.64% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.23% ( -0.03) | 42.76% ( 0.04) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( -0.16) | 27.04% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% ( -0.2) | 62.4% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.94% 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 4.26% Total : 51.77% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 26.03% |
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