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Old Firm derby: 9 hrs 59 mins
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NL
Serie A | Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
GL

Napoli
6 - 0
Genoa

Lozano (10', 65'), Zielinski (46'), Mertens (57'), Elmas (69'), Politano (72')
Osimhen (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Destro (90'), Masiello (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 13.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawGenoa
67.45%18.98%13.58%
Both teams to score 51.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.51%41.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.11%63.89%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.66%11.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.97%36.03%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.71%42.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.32%78.68%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 67.44%
    Genoa 13.58%
    Draw 18.98%
NapoliDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 11.36%
1-0 @ 10.44%
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 8.25%
3-1 @ 7.1%
4-0 @ 4.49%
4-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.05%
5-0 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 67.44%
1-1 @ 8.99%
0-0 @ 4.8%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 18.98%
0-1 @ 4.13%
1-2 @ 3.87%
0-2 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.21%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.58%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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