Playing in front of their fans, the onus is more on Qarabag to take the fight to their visitors and get the job done. We are backing the home side to live up to expectations and secure a narrow win here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.