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Champions League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 23, 2022 at 8pm UK
Doosan Aréna
Q

Plzen
2 - 1
Qarabag FK

Kopic (58'), Kliment (73')
Pernica (38'), Sykora (40'), Jemelka (43'), Tijani (73'), Kopic (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ozobic (38')
Gugeshashvili (19')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Qarabag FK 0-0 Plzen
Wednesday, August 17 at 5.45pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Qarabag FK 0-0 Plzen
Wednesday, August 17 at 5.45pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Viktoria Plzen 1-0 Qarabag FK

With little error for margin here, we are anticipating a cagey affair with neither team giving too much away. That said, we are also tipping Viktoria Plzen to narrowly come out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.54%) and 1-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Viktoria Plzen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Viktoria Plzen.

Result
Viktoria PlzenDrawQarabag FK
51.33% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 21.56% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 27.1% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 65.72% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.68% (0.019999999999996 0.02)33.31% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.91% (0.024000000000001 0.02)55.08% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.65%13.35% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (0.021999999999991 0.02)24.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.033000000000001 0.03)58.47% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Viktoria Plzen 51.33%
    Qarabag FK 27.1%
    Draw 21.57%
Viktoria PlzenDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.49% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 4.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 1.26%
4-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 51.33%
1-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 2.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.57%
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 27.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Qarabag FK 0-0 Plzen
Wednesday, August 17 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Plzen 2-1 Sheriff Tiraspol
Tuesday, August 9 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-2 Plzen
Tuesday, August 2 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Plzen 5-0 HJK Helsinki
Tuesday, July 26 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-2 Plzen
Wednesday, July 20 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Besiktas 0-0 Plzen
Tuesday, July 12 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Qarabag FK 0-0 Plzen
Wednesday, August 17 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-3 Qarabag FK
Tuesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Qarabag FK 1-1 Ferencvaros
Wednesday, August 3 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: FC Zurich 2-2 Qarabag FK
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Qarabag FK 3-2 FC Zurich
Tuesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Qarabag FK 5-1 Lech Poznan
Tuesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League


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