SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for FC Zurich had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a FC Zurich win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Zurich |
53.27% ( -0.08) | 23.88% ( 0.04) | 22.84% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.93% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.91% ( -0.12) | 48.09% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.74% ( -0.1) | 70.25% ( 0.1) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.01% ( -0.07) | 17.99% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.15% ( -0.12) | 48.85% ( 0.13) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.54% ( -0.02) | 35.45% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.78% ( -0.02) | 72.21% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.38% 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 53.27% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.88% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 22.84% |
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