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N
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 12pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
T

Nantes
3 - 1
Toulouse

Guessand (50'), Mohamed (55'), Simon (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aboukhlal (15')
van den Boomen (37'), Dejaegere (45'), Nicolaisen (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, August 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-1 Toulouse

While Nantes are winless this term, Toulouse are still unbeaten and we think that the visitors will continue that run by holding their hosts to a draw on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawToulouse
34.73% (-0.293 -0.29) 26.14% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07) 39.13% (0.366 0.37)
Both teams to score 53.59% (0.198 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.08% (0.274 0.27)50.92% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.21% (0.238 0.24)72.79% (-0.238 -0.24)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)28.05% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)63.71% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.325 0.33)25.52% (-0.325 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (0.443 0.44)60.37% (-0.443 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 34.73%
    Toulouse 39.13%
    Draw 26.13%
NantesDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.78% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.73%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.16% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 9.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.86% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 39.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, August 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Lille
Friday, August 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 4-0 Nantes
Sunday, July 31 at 7pm in Trophee des Champions
Last Game: Nantes 1-1 St Etienne
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Nantes
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Nice
Sunday, August 7 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Toulouse
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Nimes
Saturday, May 7 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Rodez AF 1-0 Toulouse
Monday, May 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2


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