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Europa League | Quarter-Finals
Apr 8, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
MU

Granada
0 - 2
Man Utd


Duarte (51'), Brice Eteki (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rashford (31'), Fernandes (90' pen.)
Pogba (8'), McTominay (40'), Shaw (43'), Maguire (72'), Matic (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Granada win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
GranadaDrawManchester United
28.59%23.77%47.64%
Both teams to score 58.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25%42.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85%65.15%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72%28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35%63.65%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88%18.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.93%49.07%
Score Analysis
    Granada 28.59%
    Manchester United 47.64%
    Draw 23.77%
GranadaDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 7.02%
1-0 @ 6.46%
2-0 @ 4.11%
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 28.59%
1-1 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 9.42%
0-1 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 7.4%
1-3 @ 5.37%
0-3 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 3.41%
1-4 @ 2.29%
0-4 @ 1.8%
2-4 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 47.64%

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