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Europa League | Quarter-Finals
Apr 15, 2021 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford
GL

Man Utd
2 - 0
Granada

Cavani (6'), Vallejo (90' og.)
Pogba (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Soldado (20'), Sanchez (61'), Neva (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Granada had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawGranada
57.94%23.86%18.2%
Both teams to score 46.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.49%53.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.98%75.02%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73%18.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.68%49.32%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.57%43.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.35%79.65%
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 57.93%
    Granada 18.2%
    Draw 23.85%
Manchester UnitedDrawGranada
1-0 @ 13.48%
2-0 @ 11.46%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 5.42%
4-0 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 0.96%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 57.93%
1-1 @ 11.24%
0-0 @ 7.93%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.62%
1-2 @ 4.69%
0-2 @ 2.76%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 18.2%

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