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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 22, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
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Roma
1 - 1
Atalanta

Cristante (75')
Calafiori (31'), Villar (47'), Ibanez (90+3')
Ibanez (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Malinovskyi (26')
Gosens (52')
Gosens (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Roma had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
25.86%22.56%51.58%
Both teams to score 60.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.79%39.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.46%61.54%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88%28.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2%63.8%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.65%15.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.88%44.12%
Score Analysis
    Roma 25.86%
    Atalanta BC 51.58%
    Draw 22.55%
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 6.51%
1-0 @ 5.48%
2-0 @ 3.47%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.58%
3-0 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 25.86%
1-1 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.55%
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-1 @ 8.09%
0-2 @ 7.58%
1-3 @ 6.01%
0-3 @ 4.74%
2-3 @ 3.81%
1-4 @ 2.81%
0-4 @ 2.22%
2-4 @ 1.79%
1-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 51.58%

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