Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
