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Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 10, 2020 at 8pm UK
Generali Arena
ML

Sparta Prague
0 - 1
AC Milan


Sacek (15'), Polidar (44'), Heca (77')
Plechaty (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Petter Hauge (23')
Krunic (35'), Maldini (49'), Castillejo (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Sparta PragueDrawAC Milan
25.46%22.7%51.84%
Both teams to score 59.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76%40.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39%62.6%
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02%28.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13%64.86%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36%15.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.36%44.64%
Score Analysis
    Sparta Prague 25.46%
    AC Milan 51.84%
    Draw 22.69%
Sparta PragueDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.45%
1-0 @ 5.61%
2-0 @ 3.48%
3-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 2.47%
3-0 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 25.46%
1-1 @ 10.41%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 4.53%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-1 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 7.8%
1-3 @ 5.98%
0-3 @ 4.83%
2-3 @ 3.7%
1-4 @ 2.77%
0-4 @ 2.24%
2-4 @ 1.72%
1-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 51.84%

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