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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Dec 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
ML

Sampdoria
1 - 2
AC Milan

Ekdal (82')
Silva (26'), Jankto (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kessie (45' pen.), Castillejo (77')
Kessie (5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawAC Milan
23.53%22.71%53.77%
Both teams to score 57.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.77%42.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.37%64.63%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38%31.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97%68.03%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.32%15.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.27%44.73%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 23.53%
    AC Milan 53.77%
    Draw 22.7%
SampdoriaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.09%
1-0 @ 5.71%
2-0 @ 3.29%
3-1 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 2.17%
3-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 23.53%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 9.8%
0-1 @ 9.19%
0-2 @ 8.51%
1-3 @ 6.05%
0-3 @ 5.26%
2-3 @ 3.48%
1-4 @ 2.8%
0-4 @ 2.43%
2-4 @ 1.61%
1-5 @ 1.04%
0-5 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 53.77%

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