SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | AC Milan |
| 23.53% | 22.71% | 53.77% |
| Both teams to score 57.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% | 42.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.37% | 64.63% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% | 31.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.97% | 68.03% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.32% | 15.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.27% | 44.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 6.09% 1-0 @ 5.71% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.68% Total : 23.53% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-1 @ 9.19% 0-2 @ 8.51% 1-3 @ 6.05% 0-3 @ 5.26% 2-3 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.8% 0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.61% 1-5 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.69% Total : 53.77% |
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