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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
IN

Bosnia H'vina
3 - 0
Iceland

Krunic (14', 40'), Dedic (63')
Tahirovic (45+4'), Dedic (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Romania 4-1 Bosnia H'vina
Monday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Iceland
Thursday, January 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies

We said: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2-0 Iceland

Led by the evergreen Edin Dzeko, we expect Bosnia-Herzegovina to kick-start the Faruk Hadzibegic era with a comfortable home victory over Iceland, whose struggles at both ends of the pitch look set to continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 21.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bosnia-Herzegovina would win this match.

Result
Bosnia-HerzegovinaDrawIceland
50.71% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 28.14% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 21.15% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 39.54% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.39% (0.013999999999996 0.01)64.61% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)83.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08%25.92% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)60.92% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.38% (0.025000000000006 0.03)46.62% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.8% (0.019000000000002 0.02)82.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bosnia-Herzegovina 50.7%
    Iceland 21.15%
    Draw 28.13%
Bosnia-HerzegovinaDrawIceland
1-0 @ 16.31% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 3.78%
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 50.7%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.21% (0.0029999999999997 0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 9.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 21.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Romania 4-1 Bosnia H'vina
Monday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-0 Montenegro
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 3-2 Finland
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Montenegro 1-1 Bosnia H'vina
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-0 Romania
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Finland 1-1 Bosnia H'vina
Saturday, June 4 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Iceland
Thursday, January 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Iceland 1-1 Estonia
Sunday, January 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Latvia 1-1 Iceland (7-8 pen.)
Saturday, November 19 at 2pm in Baltic Cup
Last Game: Lithuania 0-0 Iceland (5-6 pen.)
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in Baltic Cup
Last Game: South Korea 1-0 Iceland
Friday, November 11 at 11am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Iceland 1-0 Saudi Arabia
Sunday, November 6 at 12pm in International Friendlies


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