SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Norway had a probability of 21.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Georgia | Draw | Norway |
52.86% ( -5.05) | 25.82% ( 1.59) | 21.32% ( 3.47) |
| Both teams to score 45.4% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.92% ( -1.71) | 57.08% ( 1.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.04% ( -1.38) | 77.96% ( 1.39) |
| Georgia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.33% ( -2.69) | 21.67% ( 2.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.19% ( -4.3) | 54.81% ( 4.3) |
| Norway Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.96% ( 2.92) | 42.03% ( -2.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.53% ( 2.43) | 78.46% ( -2.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Georgia | Draw | Norway |
| 1-0 @ 13.93% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -1.13)2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 5.43% ( -1.1)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.51)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.64)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.37)Other @ 3% Total : 52.86% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.74) 0-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.58)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.23)Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 1.08) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.7)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.69)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.26)Other @ 1.11% Total : 21.32% |
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